Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.004284 0.004818 0.005423 0.006162 0.007050 0.008094 0.009428
2025-12-28 0.003658 0.004369 0.005245 0.006428 0.008020 0.010147 0.013313
2026-01-04 0.003230 0.004011 0.005031 0.006505 0.008660 0.011843 0.017225
2026-01-11 0.002891 0.003693 0.004786 0.006450 0.009051 0.013226 0.021131
2026-01-18 0.002653 0.003470 0.004625 0.006464 0.009515 0.014812 0.026035
2026-01-25 0.002421 0.003224 0.004392 0.006319 0.009673 0.015891 0.030451
2026-02-01 0.002199 0.002969 0.004111 0.006050 0.009554 0.016407 0.033881
2026-02-08 0.002010 0.002744 0.003853 0.005779 0.009374 0.016745 0.037069
2026-02-15 0.001918 0.002656 0.003799 0.005845 0.009838 0.018577 0.045613
2026-02-22 0.001801 0.002522 0.003655 0.005731 0.009919 0.019569 0.052375
2026-03-01 0.001689 0.002385 0.003495 0.005568 0.009870 0.020229 0.058606
2026-03-08 0.001596 0.002274 0.003368 0.005452 0.009899 0.021107 0.066641
2026-03-15 0.001547 0.002234 0.003369 0.005599 0.010593 0.024222 0.090046
2026-03-22 0.001514 0.002218 0.003411 0.005838 0.011574 0.028776 0.132966
2026-03-29 0.001458 0.002161 0.003373 0.005905 0.012156 0.032423 0.183891
2026-04-05 0.001392 0.002081 0.003286 0.005858 0.012427 0.035157 0.241200
2026-04-12 0.001340 0.002021 0.003231 0.005870 0.012870 0.038913 0.339509
2026-04-19 0.001275 0.001935 0.003119 0.005743 0.012886 0.040890 0.433527
2026-04-26 0.001202 0.001832 0.002968 0.005508 0.012533 0.040983 0.495605
2026-05-03 0.001135 0.001734 0.002821 0.005269 0.012130 0.040677 0.552935
2026-05-10 0.001105 0.001703 0.002801 0.005328 0.012671 0.045703 0.909270
2026-05-17 0.001061 0.001642 0.002719 0.005228 0.012679 0.047863 1.257271
2026-05-24 0.001015 0.001576 0.002623 0.005084 0.012517 0.048956 1.640992